NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400


For the first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the leader in the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s searching for his fourth win of the year and also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds give him a 9-4 opportunity to get it as he starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other top contenders in this .75-mile brief course. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first be sure to have a look at the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and current results into account.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Richmond Raceway have been in his blood. His model mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For NASCAR at Richmond 2019we can inform you that the version is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond chances.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s that the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond autumn race in 2017. He’ll begin in 14th place after a slightly slower than expected qualifying time of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he has revealed the speed needed to scale the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

And a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better worth in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR at Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he’s tapered off lately. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway and then fought last week at Bristol, ending 17th. In his career, Truex hasn’t fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he’s finished in the top five only three times in 26 career starts at the monitor.

The model is also targeting two additional motorists using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.

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